Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vesting (IRE) | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 7 | Factor Analysis | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 5 | De La Cruz | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Stop the Press | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Vesting (IRE) | 0.60 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 6 | British Sea | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Vintage Vino | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Garden Leave | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Isomarshall | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Paddington | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unmatched Wisdom | 0.40 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seeking Unity | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Operator | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grandpa’s Kid | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cartucho | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Because the Night | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Creation of Adam | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Just | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | October Bliss | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All the Rage | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Watch Hill | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Opportunity Set | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Papi On Ice | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Timaeus | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storming Chrome | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Certified Loverboy | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Principe d’Oro | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gut Feeling | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior Richard | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gun Maestro | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Daybright Delights | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Puck | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Launch Control | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Price Is Truth | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Pocket | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New York Scrappy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oreno | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Outtawaterbury | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charles J | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sebastianthe First | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Condiment Girl | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Willful Desire | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fontanafredda | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jackie the Joker | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bank On Anna | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Violent Vixen | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shesalittle Edgy | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Timed Out | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Messi the Magician | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Muazarah | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Piccolo Diavolo | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Venge | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dads Good Runner | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bonne Chance | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Somama Beach | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paschal Moon | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Allied Attack | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Collected Special | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Instamatic | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Final Denile | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Heymackit’sjack | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Your Man Alex | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kern River | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Arm | 50.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jimmythetooth | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brennan’s War | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War Terminator | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kreesa | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 14 | On the Hill | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 15 | Boss Tweed | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Big Prankster | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Perpetual Praise | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Golden Degree | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Spiritual Lady | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Six Pack Senorita | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roman Goddess | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gav’s Dream Girl | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Will Be Famous | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frannie Lew | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blenheim Baby | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Wild Applause S.) – Wild Applause S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Oversubscribed (GB) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chantilly Road | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Czech | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Curlin’s Girl | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gala Brand | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Macanga | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vino Rouge | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Value Area | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Grayosh | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Just Music | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tina Ballerina | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | Neptune Beach | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cousin Ed | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sweet Tone | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Waflr | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Temple Creed | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Your Mission | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | In My Shadow | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dancinginthepark | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Holder Close | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | A Lister | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Arco Augusta | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jeffersons Ocean | 50.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Frozen Four | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Solo Empire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 15 | Judge Rules | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.