Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rising Inflation | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Maturity Date | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Save Time | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rising Inflation | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Autumn’s Turn | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy Mischief | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Good Long Cry | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Warming | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Laughing Lady | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Gate | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Burner Account | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Abientot | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carol Said No | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady River Lily | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Sugars | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lord Captain | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy Knows | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Co Conspirator | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chocolate Shake | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Higher Quality | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Centavo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Bourbon Calling | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Mystic Night | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Blake B. | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Classic Mark | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skylander | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bold Victory | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Tetsu | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trade Secret | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My First Love | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jolly Miss Jill | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Annmarie | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Meraviglioso | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slack Tide | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suspended Campaign | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gringotts | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joey the Fish | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Born Dancer | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | King of Comedy | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Let’s Go Big Blue | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rough Draft | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Danzigwiththestars | 1.60 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cable Ready | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Locke and Key | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bar Fourteen | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sell Something | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Majestic Frontier | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 11 | Mighty Atlas | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Spending | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Fabulous Fox | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Capital Spending | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fabulous Fox | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cerretta | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Splashy | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Play Free Bird | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Justheart | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Better Be Smart | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | H M S Victory | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heavenly Girl | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Signal From Noise | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretti Xtreme | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dame Cinco | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toned Up | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Into Happiness | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amanda’s Folly | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Moonshine | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Nostalgic One | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Betta Go Go Go | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Alacran | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Theregoesmymiracle | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Oxford Union | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lcgolucky | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smooth an Easy | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zen Air | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fluorescent Bay | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Comanche Peak (GB) | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pappou’s Laugh | 15.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mitole’s Diamond | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | British Sea | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Master of Malice | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Isomarshall | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.