Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Confer |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Band Luzziann |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Compass Fire |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lucky Girl Coco |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
I’m Blushing |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Linny Kate |
3.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Starry Hope |
4.50 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kizzy |
5.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lady Dominance |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Tiz a Tale |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Volkert |
1.80 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ubiquitous |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Thenorthremembers |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Executive Search |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Acamar |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Next Flight |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Grand Valley |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Bell Mountain |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Il Siciliano |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pet Mat |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Quatrocento |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jimbo Bailey |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sharp Wonder |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Yankee Drummer |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Barry the Builder |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grand Tower |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rapscallion |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Titan |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wicked Phantom |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Texas Air Force |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
R B’s Runner |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Builder Jak |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ruby’s Big Red |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bullet Blues |
15.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rapid Roy |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bigly Deal |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Burnin Turf |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stat |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Starship Renegade |
15.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Champions Dream |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Handy Dandy |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tiz the Bomb |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Merlin |
10.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Just a Photo |
6.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bold Majestic |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Bigbouquetofroses |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
A Touch of Hail |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
British Empress |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
R Disaster |
2.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sarah’s Dream |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Olivia’s Sparkle |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Personal Choice |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Princess Miss Emil |
8.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gouldian |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Dubstep |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Wicklow Gal |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wicca Wisdom |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Boston Princess |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nana Fanny |
3.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dream Trap |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tempereya |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Don’t Get Pickled |
2.50 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sandpiper Memories |
12.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
2 |
2 |
Winning At Ease |
30.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
8 |
8 |
Streaking Grey |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Positive Review |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shaq Diesel |
2.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ticking |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coppermaster |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lord Miles |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Black Belt |
2.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sir Saffer |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Love Me Not |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Powder Break S.) – Powder Break S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Jan’s Girl |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Towser |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
No Valla |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Angel Nadeshiko |
2.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Swoonatra |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Napa Candy |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wide West (IRE) |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chick’s Shadow |
15.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Friendlypersuasion |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Celestial Glaze |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pay Zone |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Absolute Grit |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
San Costantino |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
High Strike |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Luni Sima |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Float On |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Avant Glory |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Grace Darling (IRE) |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Royal Vow |
12.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Now Showing |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
E M’s Treasuregirl |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Musical Romance (GB) |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Marshamarshamarsha |
4.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Diamonds for Lily |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lizqueenfluerdelis |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lady Azteca |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Good Bright Flames |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.