Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Iron Man Ira | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sorority Prank | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hagrid’s Flame | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saka Shocka | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tinebar | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Accidental Bid | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dark Devil | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Remember the Chief | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Papagiorgio | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guile | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | True Connection | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Get It to Matthew | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jaxson Is Back | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Duneen Bay | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Next On Stage | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Isn’t She Khozy | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blenheim Baby | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Ten | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alley’s Song | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Highway Harmony | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Catskill Humor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bertrille | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Soca | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dea Matrona (FR) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Timeout | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reynolds Channel | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Military Road | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Foxhole | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Missouri River | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Original Idea | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Glint | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jackson’s Dixie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | True Empress | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Athena Beach | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gone and Forgotten | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harlan’s Bond | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Voleuse | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cara’s Time | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unit Economics (GB) | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Cuando | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kick a Buck | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Storm Ready | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Unit Economics (GB) | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Houlton | 30.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon Outlaw | 15.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Then | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Final Edition (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diver | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Direct Channel | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coast Along | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Deputy Mischief | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | My Mitole | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Nudge | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | T Kraft | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Magical Bette | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Mentee | 1.20 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Colloquial | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ravenite | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Empress Julia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Faster Gator | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Tapwrits Temper | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Supers Lucky Lady | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Marco T. | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Act of Congress | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mim | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quick Power Nap | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stolen Future | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gram | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bern Rosey Bern | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unicorn Cake | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Capital Gal | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Cara Mia Mine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | George’s Vice | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pauciloquent | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 12 | Call Me Harry | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dude N Colorado (GB) | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Conman | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Belouni (FR) | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ocean Atlantique | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bodecream | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ruse | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vacation Dance | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paros | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Ways | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fore Harp | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Power Seeker | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Greek Order (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Bed O’ Roses S.) – Bed O’ Roses S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Pond | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flying Connection | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Fudge | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Katherine | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Beguine | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Leave No Trace | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Accede | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Apple Picker | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Matcha | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shidabhuti | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kant Call It | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fancypants Juliana | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ghostbustin | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dusk | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beach Cruiser | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Valentine Gift | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | U Should B Dancing | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | City Blocks | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Maggy’s Palace | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Latest Edition | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Poseidon’s Mist | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Foxy Cara | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Five to Two | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.