Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Suit Me Up Charlie |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Defiant Malice |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Young Jonesboro |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cherokee Will |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Macho Striker |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Sir Angus |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Lady Razorback |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Getaway Day |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kantirun |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Breathtaking Folly |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ms Bumblebee |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hot Shot Shopper |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Dreamin It Up |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hop Away Hottie |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
S C Skylars Empire |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Anchors and Spurs |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cupids Sweety |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lazy N Lucky |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Lets Rock N Stroll |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Papa Geeb |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Billy Who |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
D’s Mic Drop |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Glome |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Spirited Dream |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sing for Ur Supper |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Can’t Make Me |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Olivia’s Hope |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
C L Legacy |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
American Sue |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nautical Miss |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Farrah Fowler |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Prairie Fireball |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Unglued |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Shotshell |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Caseys Memory |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Allo Enry |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chapel Barn |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cost Basis |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Inca Empire |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Midnight Rules |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mahomes |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Whiskey Wednesday |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lawless John |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Warrior’s Run |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Pines Sandy |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Weller Rogue |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
I Love Rocknstroll |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.