Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rose Maddox | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leisurewear (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Highlands | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hang the Moon | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liberal Lady | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yerwanthere (IRE) | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Keychain Girl | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soul of a Warrior | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shes Just Fluffy | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Solid Tune | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Is | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Habeas | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Johnny Drama | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Soulfire | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | John Dunbar | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barsabas | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kimmer | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Satellite Heart | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Petit Filet | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | We’ll Do It Live | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dorie Miller | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deficit Maja | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Easter Coming Back | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Pace Lane | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Apple Fest | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jai Ho | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dangerous Affair | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Rose | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Peer | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Double Bay (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Annie’s Hope | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Berkeley | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Smooth as Butter | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 98 | Play My Speed | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Disobey | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devil Among Us | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tom Horn | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soul of Midnight | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunrise Journey | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chick’s Dig It | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Calm Sea | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Man Among Men | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crosby Beach | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maltese Falcon (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dean Martini | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Living Life | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carmelita’s Man | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hudson Ridge | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Affirmed S.) – Affirmed S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Scatify | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Parenting | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mc Vay | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miracle Mark | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cornell | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Capital Outlay | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Western Grit | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wasting Aces | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Splashed in Gold | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Highplainsdrifter | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trotsky | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just a Graze | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drive for Show | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bee Eye Gee | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Keep It Coming | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Rocket | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charley Pride | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Unzip Me Lord | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | L Squared | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.