Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rhino | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Finners Goldnsense | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bravo Ragazzo | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ghostly Act | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spot D’ Oro | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fight Back | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | R Awesome Kid | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maxville | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vols | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whats the Buzz | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Beer Money | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Petesoldfashioned | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Instinct D’ Oro | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eight Clap | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lettheliquortalk | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Aventapp | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rebalation | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Teen Drama | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dads Estrella | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paleo’s Princess | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hotitude | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Real Jewel | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sequin Lady | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J Dutton | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The G M | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Puddin Head Jones | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | It’s My World | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blame the Classic | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 98 | Eagles Dare | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Marinas Tina (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Weemissgrammy | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dolly May (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leopardess (GB) | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cheekiest | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Disruptive Artist | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | True Patriot | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ifuaintfirsturlast | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beautiful Janet | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Temper | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Peaceful Waters | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Chief | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Left Hand Man | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ultimate | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Top Gun Tommy | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devil Be Me | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Idaho Once | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’s My House | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Catalina Eddy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Behind Enemy Lines (GB) | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zoffarelli (IRE) | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lovesick Blues | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Player B | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mas Rapido (GB) | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Agency | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daniel’s Magic | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lyell’s Song | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Navajo Warrior | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Way | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Choochies | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Duran | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Palagio | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Triple Pass | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Max | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Cali Bay (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Giovinazzo | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flavius | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Vanzzy | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vantastic | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | General Mathis | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | The Giants Candy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Aurelian Man | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Man Friday | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Departure | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 98 | Enjoy It Strait | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.