Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Sweet Mother Mary |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Singing Emma |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stay Fabulous |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fearless Kristie |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Toffee |
2.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Floating |
1.80 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Smokin Jack Flash |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Elusive Power |
8.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Don Juan Bubba |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
All About Mischief |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Museum Quality |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Salthawk |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Ed Skinner S.) – Ed Skinner S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Devil’s Tower |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Exxel |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chipofftheoldblock |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Time Machine |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Count de Monet |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
C W Prize |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Diamond City |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Mister Sharpie |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Charter Oak |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hunters Ghost |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Russian to Win |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Casper Justice |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Autopilot |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Three for Three |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Liberty’s Hauler |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Kissed a Cadet |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blitzed in Bee Six |
3.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lil Screecher |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
D D’s Legacy |
15.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fayes Spirit |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Orphan Sandy |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
La Fee’s Secret |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Caplinger |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Jack Bishop S.) – Jack Bishop S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Take Me Serious |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bluelightspecial |
1.60 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kynlie’s Empire |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Paris Style (FR) |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rose Parade |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lure’em In |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mystic Pleasure |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Prairie Rose S.) – Prairie Rose S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Let’s Be Clear |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sharp Hero |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Olga Isabel |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Faith Alone |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Connie K |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kant Believe It |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Take Me Serious |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Asena |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Run Fire Run |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Go the Distance |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rahm |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Runhappy d’Oro |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Gambler Rocket |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Roman Giant |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Breakable Code |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ore Mine |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Golden Luna |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Palace Guard |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Al’s Romeo |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.