Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Boundfortrouble |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Madroc |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Aristotle |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Final Data |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Helicity |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Megastar |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Friolento |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Big Boy Jak |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
El Cazador |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Premiado |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
I Know I Know |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Warlord Cruzan |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Frosted Faith |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Neophyte |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Richy |
1.80 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Executive Search |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Alfio |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Voltamour |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Next Flight |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Tinta Roja |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Denver’s Alley |
8.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Victory Girl |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tape Runner |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Southern Palace |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ethel |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tovia |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chasing Silver |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wildcat Lunita |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kozem |
1.60 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shut It Cali |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Burn the Breeze |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Upstreet |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bonnie Sandra |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Oro Oro |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Allons |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Sweetfantasy |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Just Mercy |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kilkenny Bella |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gratia |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fourway Stop |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Heavens Express |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Nikee Kan |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Magic Moonstar |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Runaway Breeze |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Foxy Lady |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Winning At Ease |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Drinks On Me |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Amor Y Control |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Heir to the Roar |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Graytana |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Whats Goin On |
15.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cajun Fantasy |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
R Firebird |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Greek Mojo |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Devra Warrior |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Velocissima |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Strategy Queen |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lovielee |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Numeric |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Olympic Prank |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Olympic Prank |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Lady James |
8.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mama Maria |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sin for a Season |
1.60 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sophia’s Storm |
15.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Euphima (ARG) |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Corinth |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sister Serendipity |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Far Above |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Awesome Empress |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nina’s Last Gift |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Repaynt |
30.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Family Stash |
30.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ghosts Lil Secret |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mobay Princess |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.