Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Huge Bigly | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hercules | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Apollo Rising | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Camp Daddy | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Navy Soul | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | W W Crazy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tonalite | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carnane (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sanctify | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Semantics | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Sexy Blonde | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Novara | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Churning Berni | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dream On Stormy | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marina Gamba | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap My Desire | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Big Dig | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Stay Lost | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Moonlight Gambler | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Purring | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Guinevere | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Raconteuse | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Legal Deceiver | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Vortex | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady June | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Consequences | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Evocation | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Secretary (BRZ) | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Where Is She | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gather the Facts | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sally Bali | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Murphy Girl | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Minty | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slang | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Elle | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bowtie Or Notie | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Women | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs Worldwide | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dare to Fly | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Blink | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Talksalot | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tony Ann | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marissa’s Lady | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beauty of the Sea | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hideki | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blame Day | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jill Jitterbug | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | L J’s Emma | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Munny | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Underhill’s Tab | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Abadin | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vinco | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Luck | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baton Rouge | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battleoflexington | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kattath | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Leblon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Grey Streak | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Act | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Doctor Nash | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boitano | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sant’ Antimo | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Atkins | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rackataptap | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dreaming of Smarty | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pinedale | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Allnight Moonlight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Oscar’s World | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Cairo | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Poetry | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Debt Paid | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Raguel | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brilliant Berti | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Funnyflame | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fortune Seller | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bean Machine | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chaperone | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tough Little Nut | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Moonlight | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Swiss Slang | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mugatu | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bricklayer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bookie Brent | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phenomenal Dream | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Strasse | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Track Light | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Quiet Rush | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Scatter | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Velvet | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Overstatement | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Availability | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hallelujah Harris | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.