Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | British Sea | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Conniving | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Glory | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fire Baron | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Caesar’s Ghost | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hours in a Day | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lcgolucky | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Comanche Peak (GB) | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Bolt d’Plata | 4.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pujol | 10.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dangerous Driver | 3.50 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Zen Air | 15.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drunk On Sake | 8.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Oxford Union | 5.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bookworm | 1.40 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Discreet Bnb | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Tremont S.) – Tremont S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Classic of Course | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Echoes | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shoot the Nickel | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Touchy | 2.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dominican Thunder | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dew | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Studlydoright | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brereton’s Baytown | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Caldo Candy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Land d’Oro | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Satin | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Camm’ Duke | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kaz Palace | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brick Ambush | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | B D Saints | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stop the Spread | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toscano | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Jersey Girl S.) – Jersey Girl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Becky’s Joker | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roman Grace | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Almostgone Rocket | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moonlit Lady | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carmelina | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manama Gold | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gray Lightning | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dorothy’s Dreams | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cerretta | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ariana Rye | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In the End | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heart of the Night | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strictly Taboo | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beautiful Thief | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lonchura | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit of Esther | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnolia Wind | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Whirl | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harmonyville | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| Beautiful Thief | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Classy Mischief | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Neat Trick | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 4 | She’s Wicked Smart | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Park Avenue Betty | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Montego Bay | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Chanteuse | 1.20 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Audacious | 1.20 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Refuse to Lose | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Sicilian Princess | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Silvology | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| Chanteuse | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miz Sense | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ways and Means | 0.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Do Gooder | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broderie | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Striker Has Dial | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ichiban | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dot Marie | 50.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bon Adieu | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Obrigada | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sarir | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Film Academy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Romantic Charmer | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Teta’s Trotter | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mission Hill | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Iron Man Ira | 1.40 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All Good Here | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Allofasuddenlee | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wind Dancer | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Saffredi | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Artful Dreamer | 12.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hagrid’s Flame | 5.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Charles J | 6.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Manticore | 50.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Metatron | 8.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Berning Beauty | 8.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz the Prince | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Astoria S.) – Astoria S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | West Memorial | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | French Horn | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whatintheliteral | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Cleopatra | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Biscuitwiththeboss | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Long Neck Paula | 2.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aoraki | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Queens M G | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baytown Butterfly | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Belmont Gold Cup S.) – Belmont Gold Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Siskany (GB) | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starting Over | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Champagne Juan | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | So High (GB) | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Really Good | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pioneering Spirit | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | The Grey Wizard (IRE) | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Costa Terra | 2.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Six Minus | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Dai Vernon | 1.80 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Limited Liability | 8.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sports Editor | 50.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Curlin | 30.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cibolian | 50.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.