Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Afleet Diva | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Throwback | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bahama Pearl | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raise Your Game | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Ride | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thea’s Theme | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blaze On | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Margie Go | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ninetyninecarats | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Missy Boss | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thearcherortheprey | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fabulous Candy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lovely Liza | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Clinton | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bold d’Oro | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pops Harper | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Takethefifth | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Office Corruption | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fratellino | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beware of Pride | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | To My Taste | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | John’s Promise | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Red Devolution | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Touchdown Montage | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Positively Awesome | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Solution | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Mox | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rahmer | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bonnie Bill | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Beau | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Minxzhippsdontleye | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bahama Channel | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Lucky | 3.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Morales Little Kid | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Inbound | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoya | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Alabama Shake | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Photo Copy | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Commission Always | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starforce | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bali Riddim | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Andy Mort | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cesnola | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Paynted Thunder | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Art Handler | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tyrant Regime | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Royal Seamstress | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Stones | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shero | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Organized Chaos | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Vixen | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kingdom Queen | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Bulletproof | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Only Kidding | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bound by Destiny | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Summer Soldier | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roundtop | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Major Mack | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | St. Neots | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coinin | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saisir Le Jour | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flamenco Star | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zevon | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Direct Channel | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Badge of War | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pineapple Lane | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Diane | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Beauty | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chells Girl | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Summer Love | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s Fantastic | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Dutchess | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wind Breaker | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Her Lucky Lotto | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.