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Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, June 2, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Princess Is Olivia 2.00 1 2-1
10 10 Corri Felice 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Morning Miracle 4.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Belive N the Dream 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Nothing But Time 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Possession 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 Emotional 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Play Maker 12.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Bold Appeal 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Stratospheric 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Miss Saipan 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ruthless Rua 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Gloriette 2.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Empires Princess 3.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Miss Jeopardy 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Bobbie Sox 20.00 5 9-1
9 9 Neutralize 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Lucy Jane 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Idalou 15.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Esme 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 May May Strong 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Satin Blue 3.50 5.9 11-1
15 15 Carolina Candy 4.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Sucre Cecile 30.00 7 13-1
1 1 Determined Candy 3.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Closing Prayer 20.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Jus Evelyn 12.00 8.4 16-1
12 12 Miyako 5.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Dreamscape 15.00 10.2 19-1
13 13 Now Hiring 20.00 10.3 19-1
10 10 Moringa 20.00 11.4 21-1
4 4 Dear Scarlett 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Dee Minus 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Elhuboob 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Harper’s Ride 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Unhidden Gem (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mena 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Harold’s Cloud 3.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Dance Some Mo 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Welaka 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 C F V Bullet 3.50 5.4 10-1
4 4 Gilded Craken 5.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 My Romeo Lima 15.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Pando 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Mackville 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Saint Peter’s Bay 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Dazzlemesilver 3.00 5 9-1
9 9 Overbore 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Sound Doctrine 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Western Ghent 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Shakin Loose 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Town Branch 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Canavall 12.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Pretty Fast 15.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Midnight Stormy 20.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Extra Halo 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Tilted Towers 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Princip 5.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Pure Panic 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Gunner Bay 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Lunar Module 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Timeless Bounty 20.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Efficiency 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Solidify 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Mac Daddy Too 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Circle Back Jack 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Cathedral Beach 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Old Forester Mint Julep S.) – Old Forester Mint Julep S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Heavenly Sunday 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Delahaye 2.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Be My Sunshine 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Misread 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Safeen 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Immensitude (FR) 4.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Excellent Question 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Fuente Ovejuna (GB) 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Henrietta Topham 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stronsino 4.50 1 2-1
12 12 Banned for Life 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Lake Superior 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Air It Out 12.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Idoneo 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Goldentown 20.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Temecula 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Star of Wonder 3.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Awol 12.00 8 15-1
1 1 Padiddle 12.00 9 17-1
2 2 Danner 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Commuted 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dragoon Guard 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Lat Long 6.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Alwaysintomischief 15.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Gamblers Tail 15.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Cash Only 30.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Will Take It 12.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Indy Magic 10.00 7.7 14-1
9 9 Gun Party 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Guanare 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Devilsgotacause 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Infinite Diamond 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 She’s Lookin Lucky 12.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Tituba 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 School Dance 8.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Strikingly Spun 12.00 4 8-1
2 2 Make the Boys Wink 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Paint Me Perfect 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Caroline Street 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Mystic Pleasure 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Sabalenka 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Papilio (IRE) 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Queens Command (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Samay (PER) 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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