Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Collect a Lil | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Tappy Tone | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Singsational | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sherbet Fountain | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kachow | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Almond Fudge | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Magic | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tamara’s Way | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grove St. | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Byzantine | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dancing Nancy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Double Overtime | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ella Frances | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mischievous M | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Readier | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hailstorm | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Remarkable Mo | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gun Show | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Second Service | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stormin Tanda | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Run Jalen Run | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Yo Banana Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bernin Hot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Blast Furnace | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Ana | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Barbratina | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Basking | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Standoutsensation | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Little Jamie | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Under the Palms | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cat’s Cave | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wee Bit O Mischief | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All Things Go | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cararra | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Union Mist | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chilled | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tap the Champagne | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leaflet | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bellofthebluegrass | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Happy Happy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bells Beach | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Maximus | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soundbite | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kiss Me Again | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Dollar a Day | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dream On Stormy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sanctify | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Possession | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Flawless Quality | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mink’s Palace | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Merasol Sugar | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Simply Enchanting | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tweetster | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wonder Ride | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Liuzza | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | America’s Vow | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Justify | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | These Apples | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sabrina | 10.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Change the Play | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summerintahoe | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Arlington S.) – Arlington S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ottoman Fleet (GB) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emmanuel | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smokin’ T | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing the Crown | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Northern Invader | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Aces | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Harlan Estate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Stitched | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Aristides S.) – Aristides S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Skelly | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tejano Twist | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Closethegame Sugar | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Angkor | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Here Mi Song | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Payne | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Heist | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Surly Furious | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Shawnee S.) – Shawnee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Scylla | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Xigera | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wet Paint | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hidden Connection | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bellamore | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hoosier Philly | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Lute | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take a Stand | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malloy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Regret S.) – Regret S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Buchu | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Way to Be Marie | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Princess | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hello Hollywood | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pin Up Betty | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Everland | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gavea (GER) | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Faith Understood | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dancing N Dixie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Poolside With Slim (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Blame S.) – Blame S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Highland Falls | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamlike | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | War Campaign | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Departure | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Trademark | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Last Samurai | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cagliostro | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Five Star General | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Classic Causeway | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tapit Trice | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Jake | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Audubon S.) – Audubon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lagynos | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cugino | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Formidable Man | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rock’n a Halo | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Can Group | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cameo Performance | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nomos | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thomas Aquinas | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Camaro Z | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twirling Point | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.