Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Native Prince | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stop the Humbug | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mambointheforest | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coleyville | 1.40 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Private Lake | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | October Frost | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Seattle Down Under | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sing Dixie | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sailingtheislands | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday in Chile | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Highland Rocky | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Qurbaan’s Kingdom | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Haahee | 2.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tall Boy Joel | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Timber | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tipsy’s Empire | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin to Conquer | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Firebolt | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Appeal | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daisycrest | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Downy Boy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Musical Stride | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lapochka | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Palio | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Boat to Skye | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Arkle | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mad Dog N Joe | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lion Kingdom | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sailor’s Passion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Admiral Nelson | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Isaac Leo | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cairo Caper | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dialing Aragorn | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Your Valentino | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Commander Worsley | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lonhro’s Gamble | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forest Flash | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Holden | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Munnings Model | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rock It Red | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Panyard Tap | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’ve Decided | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caught Speeding | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Duval Street | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peggy | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Privacy Setting (FR) | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ryo Amazing | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arctic Blonde | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Design Diva | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taproom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bill Needle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moment of Zen | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Preetzah’s Star | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Soldier | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | River of Babylon | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Snookered | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Benlion | 4.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Collaborative | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bet N Win | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Passthepuddinpleaz | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.