Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | He’s Got Swagger | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cooke Creek | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Dream Rye’d | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winston Wolf | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harleezy | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Long Crow | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Double Barrel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Asmodeus | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Heist | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jr’s Gift | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gluckstadt | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kansas Comet | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grace On Grace | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daisy Duke | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kiss Cam | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Calcetines | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Haven’t a Red Cent | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Meucci’s Revenge | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mademm Coco | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moochie Girl | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Feisty One | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miavana | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Taxed | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Condensation | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unifying | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Braganza | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Napa Candy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be Like Water | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Two Item Saver | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Classic Causeway | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Kupuna | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ah Jeez | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Five Star General | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gentle Soul | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Jake | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Archie the Giza | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Front Run the Fed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Accredit | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Happy American | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Harlan Estate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fuerteventura | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | U. S. Army | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shopper’s Revenge | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brigade Commander | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Havildar | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stowaway | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glen Airy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Calrissian | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beaumont Red | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Stoked | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ludwig | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Eagles River | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Surveillance | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Briterdayzahead | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Comiskey Park | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Improbable Journey | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Macron | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Adios Gary | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Aaron | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Favorite Outlaw | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Winning Colors S.) – Winning Colors S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Dazzling Blue | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clearly Unhinged | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | B G Warrior | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Leeloo | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Spa | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Happy Am I | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Positano Sunset | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unsung Melody | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spirit Wind | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Backyard Money | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Miss Arlington | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Top Gun Rocket | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mobster | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Term | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | World Record | 3.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sesame Streek | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midway Lights | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cat On Time | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lord Diamond | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Star Topper | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stone Cold Runner | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | D’oro Lemon | 10.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | He’s a Joker | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Remarkable Mo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lou’s Legacy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Temecula | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Lake Superior | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.