Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | So Called Vacation | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | True Shot | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Manetka | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roar of the Crowd | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imperial Star | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joeybones | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Tempesta | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapping Out a Tune | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Threat | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bankingonamiracle | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speedy Bulleit | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Popweiser | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oh Peanuts | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Study Buddy (GB) | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sapphire Connect | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carlisle Bay | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | D’aurum | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winterberry | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Souper Supreme | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Intent | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He’s Fully Loaded | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Reload | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truebelieve | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gatling Gun | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colonel Mustard | 2.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hank Ollie | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forest Buzz | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kinetic Stone | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gran Spirited | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Highland Life | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guns n’ Rojas | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Puddingontheritz | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gold Magic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hungry Wolf | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pat’s Gamble | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moon Over Egbert | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fairway to Heaven | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jo Daddy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncaptured Moment | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fabelman | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Victory Town | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Last American Exit | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Edge | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twin City | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rapid Test | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Watson | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clayton | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Crime | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kaukokaipuu | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Taranto Titan | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red River Rebel | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Why Em Sea Ay | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Jade | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Make Magic | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ecstasy | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stolen Valour | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tianma | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maurya | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mia Mitole | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rat Portage | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quite Ready | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blast in the Snow | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Seamus | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Steak and Cheese | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stayhonor Goodside | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blame J D | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Proven Strategies | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crumlin Lad | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Paintthetownsilver | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Top of the Charts | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | It’s a Fluke | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.