Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sophie’s Star | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Woods Miracle | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rita’s Revenge | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Littledabwilldoo | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tall Tale | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dodgeball | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trip to Freedom | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Noel’s Angel | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Iron Lotus | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shaniah | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spoiled Rotten | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Luckyhotstuff | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond of Ekati | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rebel Rising | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Think I Know You | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jack’s Party Girl | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ivy Abad Girl | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Knight Commander | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snap’n Tap | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sarah’s Boy Blue | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Louie | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Munnycantbuymelove | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red White and Loud | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Quiet I’m Not | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Heart’s On Fire | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Esprit Rouge | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stella Bella | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Cash | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Sangria | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Opal Bay | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Captivated Drama | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coalminer’s Kitten | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raymond | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uptown Social | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cost Basis | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Medicine Tail | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Medimpact | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mayfield Strong | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Crenshaw | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chapel Barn | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charming Charlie | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Promising Shoes | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Time Gem | 4.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dillon Rocks | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.