Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | It’sfiftyshadetime | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hope Over Fear | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honey Run | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coinmaker | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Tourista | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | The Sweaty Fox | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Chado | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indigo Wind | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vinegar Hill | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Dandi | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ace It | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cost of War | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slanderous | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Mo B | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Samurai Prince | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spycraft | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tropic Storm | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ram | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Upstriker | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Cool Dude | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Man On the Moon | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Baytown Storm | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pounds in Town | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glamourcents | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Delicate | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indy’s Universe | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vongole | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sevilla | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stirring Up Dust | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Emy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pelican Lane | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midway Vow | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grayton | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Closing Prayer | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | E B Zoom Baby | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rockaway Reef | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chic N Da Wadda | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vino Veritas | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Canavall | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spurrier | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lend It Tewmey | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Express Cruiser | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lazarus | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saint Rocco | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Make It Spend It | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fire Wire | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Reynolds Channel | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Yell County | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ask Arthur | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glenbrook Gerry | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | House United | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Accona | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carnitine | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Scatter | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Code Word | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tapit for the Win | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Best Performer | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honey Hauler | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quality Star | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flatter Me Silly | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zawish | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justifiable Belle | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Statement | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wonderfull Lady (FR) | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glittering Lights (GB) | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Embrace Me | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sunny Isle Beach | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Steel Racer | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Marksman Queen (GB) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | R Queen Candy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Town Sis | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oath of Allegiance | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rockabillie | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | West Coast Harbor | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Very Wealthy | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Esme | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Business as Usual | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.