Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Artorius | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Power Seeker | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aggregation | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perform | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alternate Reality | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Waflr | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arco Augusta | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Watch Hill | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Janssen | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Compute It | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Savage Spirit | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Solo Rye’d | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Triple Word Score | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lady Beth | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Startup Mentality (IRE) | 1.20 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Masterof the Tunes | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Dutchess | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vino Rouge | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Show Sammy Jo (GB) | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Run Devil | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bon Adieu | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Belle of the Ball | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mistical Curlin | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reddington | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bless America | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paddington | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seeking Unity | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grandpa’s Kid | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Outta the Cloud | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Starlight Dancer | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Reward | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Kinda Mischief | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Learning to Fly | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Superstarsusan | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Luminate | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Cara Mia Mine | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Justheart | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Realta | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bossy Jeans | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Fit as a Fiddle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Strong Play | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Holder Close | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Adult Entertainer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Play Free Bird | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Play | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | High Heat | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Rider’s Special | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | Good Reunion | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Kant Beat the Rock | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lookin’ Super | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Giant’s Fire | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome City | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11 | Victorious Wave | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Sagamore Mischief | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Secret Rules | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nolo Contesto | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lost in Rome | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Valenzan Day | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Joking Way | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Notable Bob (CHI) | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | I Got No Munny | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 6 | Emerald Forest | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cowan | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 10 | Chuck Willis (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Paradise Creek S.) – Paradise Creek S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mattingly | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Feltrinelli | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smokey Smokey | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Summer in Adriane | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Devil in Disguise | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sketch (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Laser Sharp | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Works for Me | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Apollo Ten | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Coast Along | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cuando | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | John the Beer Man | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fly Right | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Vesting (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Then | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Vintage Vino | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | John the Baptist | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Garden Leave | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Storm Ready | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Egypt | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Parkway | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Prairie Dunes | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | Sequential | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Glint | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Direct Channel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.