Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Leslie’s Humor | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Justthefactsjack | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coif | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shiny Lure | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Patty Brown Eyes | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Refuse to Lose | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Breath Away (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sacred Wish | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elysian Field | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malleymoo | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swoop to Finish | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gone and Forgotten | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Signal From Noise | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Malibu Moonshine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Be Your Best (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Deputy Connect | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Lucky Luke | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Phantom Jewel | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Opportunity Set | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papi On Ice | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Flashy Alex | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Game Misconduct | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bobby the Tank | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Frannie Lew | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonlit Weekend | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poseidon’s Mist | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dolce Sera | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alley’s Song | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pauciloquent | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jay’s Love | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bustino Santino | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barron’s Bounce | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Perno | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Within View | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dunedin Causeway | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mithridates | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Solo Empire | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Power Ten | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Somama Beach | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hottakejake | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miztergrandcentral | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Light Man | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ten Cent Town | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Locke and Key | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Little Luca | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Fortune’s Nephew | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Thank You Jon | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Bronx Bomber | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Writer’s Regret | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chocolate Shake | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Casanova | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prince of Joy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honorary Degree | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anything Pazible | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Joker Boy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Datesfreedom | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mount Travers | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Big Everest (GB) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Pioneering Spirit | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Turf King (IRE) | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Grand Sonata | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kalik | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Call Me Harry | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Maker’s Candy | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Disarmed | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Stolen Base | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cloudy | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2B | 13 | Synthesis | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Sheriff Bianco | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 11 | Laughing Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spoken Bluntly | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spoofy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boss Tweed | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Four Eyes | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | You Beaut | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fratellino | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Qorokwe | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Excalibrate | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Launch Control | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Casona | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Twisted Whisker | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Price Is Truth | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.