Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Inspector Penny |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Default |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gift Gorgeous |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Joia Rara |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Beautiful Mandate |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
La Picasita |
4.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
No Consequences |
3.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
My Romeo Lima |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jay Vee Bee |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Barnaby |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Liam the Brave |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stirdatpot |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
American Hero |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
He’s Got This |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Outlier |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
The Reds |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Doctor Nash |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bird King |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Yono |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Bling |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ro Town |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Implicated |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bali Belle |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hurry Up Hannah |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Breeze Easy (GB) |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Smart With Heart |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shes a Secret |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tamara’s Way |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Markswoman |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Grove St. |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hurricane Lassie |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
R Queen Candy |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Amy Z |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Yes to Champagne |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gourmet |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Charm of the Song |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Classic Mystery |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Illusion |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Songmaker |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
What’s Her Number |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Game Warden |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
Runningforjoy |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
B Sudd |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Weslan |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Game Keeper |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Balantyne |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Route Runner |
6.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hawks Creek |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Game Warden |
3.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
G T Five Hundred |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chryso Alogo |
30.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Junior Bug |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
J J’s Joker |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chance |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gold Luck |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lundberg |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Funny Uncle |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Supremely |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Dissolved |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Berrettini |
15.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Caroom |
8.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Apollo Rising |
5.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tapit Shoes |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
El Ahijado |
50.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Idratherbeblessed |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Glen Airy |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Athens Moon |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Hold My Bourbon |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Glacial Power |
15.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sahalat |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Reagan |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mondogetsbuckets |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Capital Connection |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Send Cash |
3.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mister Lincoln |
6.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Prints Money |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.