Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Out On Bail |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Phoebeinwonderland |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Richard Ave |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Out On Bail |
3.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Soontobeking |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Phoebeinwonderland |
1.60 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vamonos Vamonos |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Man From Malta |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Dark Devil |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Betta Go Go Go |
4.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Aleah Aleah |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mr. Papagiorgio |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Brave Buck |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Lcgolucky |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cage Match |
0.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Jolly Miss Jill |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sister Linda |
2.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Suspended Campaign |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Joey the Fish |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Meraviglioso |
2.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Freddymo Factor |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gringotts |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Towhead |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Amanda’s Folly |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ocean Gateway |
0.80 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Taming the Tigress |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Swoop to Finish |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Quarrel |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Malleymoo |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Elysian Field |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Be Your Best (IRE) |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Breath Away (GB) |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Final Denile |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Clancy Fancy |
10.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bosun |
1.20 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Boom Boom Thunder |
12.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Z Dancer |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Free Folk |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Royal Browne |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
12 |
Looms Boldly |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
1 |
Run Curtis Run |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1A |
6 |
Let It Ride |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Factually Correct |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Paros |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
11 |
13 |
Life Changer |
3.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
12 |
14 |
Emerald Forest |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
8 |
Mid Day Image |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2B |
11 |
Stage Left |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
9 |
Ikigai |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
4 |
Senbei |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
2 |
Wake Surf |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
3 |
Son of a Birch |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
10 |
Clear the Air |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Unmatched Wisdom |
|
0 |
0-1 |
7 |
7 |
Military Road |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Foxhole |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Commander of Truth |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Unmatched Wisdom |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
True Connection |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Still a Soldier |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
First Trumpet |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Remember the Chief |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Direct Channel |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Sohana |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Five to Two |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tough Love Torres |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Walk With Me |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mel’s Baby Sister |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Thirteen Red Flags |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
P Mutter Pickle |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
15 |
15 |
Wisecracker |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Vin Santo |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Arco Augusta |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
13 |
13 |
Kid Kreesa |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Tone |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wo Hop |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
16 |
16 |
Irie Man |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Triple Word Score |
30.00 |
11.2 |
21-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fluorescent Bay |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Unaffected |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Ballyheigue |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Frozen Four |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Solo Empire |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Az U Chase Me |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Jhirsch |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Specialagentjonson |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.