Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Osprey |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Marisa’s Mission |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Doctor Doom |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Saponara |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
We Ready |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Seven Is a Breeze |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Catch My Vibe |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Bad Guy |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Sensible Jim |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Evolutionary |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Prince Colton |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lucky Linus |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Omaha Eight |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Uniwinner |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Confiscated |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Teddys Bat |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
I Never Say Never |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Uncle Georgy |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
The Grayt Pumpkin |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fuego Sos |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mister B |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pleasant Dreams |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hero’s Spirit |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Thirsty Pappy |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hardy Choice |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Big Boys Answer |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Smooth Motion |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Caughtandcollected |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Skimble Shanks |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Centurion |
4.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Itwasthedevilsidea |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Fast Mule |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Luli’s Dancer |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Istria |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Appealingtothe Eye |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bullet On Tap |
3.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Angelic Gal |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sirenetta |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cinnamon Dream |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Collin’s Grey Lady |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Phancy Philly |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bahama Pearl |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gia’s Fuego |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mazal Eighteen |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Leviosa |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Peach Be With Q |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Starship Rogue |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Knock Out Kid |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
This Round’s Mine |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Coalville |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tricolour |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Funstruck |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Freedom Eagle |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
New Spell |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Humble Joe |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Big Ern McCracken |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sky’s No Limit |
4.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Biagio |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Ninja Prize |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Center Mid Maddie |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Carcharoth |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bronx Boys |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr Sandman |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Capital Conquest |
2.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Private Cabana |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rockin Freebee |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Confirmed Star |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dweller |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wicked Sight |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
R Funny Bizness |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Snappy Ride |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Et’s Moon Maiden |
4.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Noisy On the Bay |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Queen Cadence |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rolls Royce Joyce |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vanishing Faith |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Peyton’s College |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Liplock |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Risque’s Jewel |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Xenatown |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Brody Slam |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Londonderry |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
J J Loves Billy |
20.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
2 |
2 |
Oui Madame |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gormley Girl |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.