Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blame Day | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dreamster | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Margoinabubblebath | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rose Palace | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Music City Star | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frozen Solid | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jump Into the Fire | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luna Moth | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amazon Queen | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunny Isle Beach | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guana Cay | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Good Fortune | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Condiment Girl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goshen | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lemon Bomb | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sense You Left | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ghostly Night | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forever Home | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mazoku | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Endless | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Batten Down | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bricklayer | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daily Grind | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bettera | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Rum | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Let’s Bounce | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Get Ahead Now | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Battle of Normandy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Phileas Fogg | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gatlinburg | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Carcano | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Bali Go | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Three On the Tree | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Millers Rite | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stonemont Reunion | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Luna Vieja | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Degree of Risk | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fredo | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Idratherbeblessed | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Berrettini | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Oscar’s World | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Alexis Zorba (GB) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tiverton (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Collect a Lil | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ella Frances | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Outrageously | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dreaming Always | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Missy Bee | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lubu | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zero Click | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Floris | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Scoop | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pivosky | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Broughty Ferry | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Transparency | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Tappy Tone | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laserjet | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Leucadia | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Sense | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Corkage Fee | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stairstep Toheaven | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Clearly Unhinged | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Filly Crystal | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quick Munny | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Laura’s Charm | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pistol | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Admissible | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Krispy Rice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Howboutdemapples | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hurry Up Hannah | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Queen of the Mud (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Global Stage | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Ambition | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Readier | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mo Hope | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blast Furnace | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Two Beers by Ten | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Patriarchal | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Maliblue | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Sam | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bozdagi | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cat On Time | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Taylors | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bad Boy for Life | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.