Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Shanghai Superfly |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hurricane Highway |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hidden Promise |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bullet Butch |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
That’s My Business |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jebologist |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jw’s Third Mischie |
5.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
The Angry Man |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Party At Sam’s |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
I Feelucky Tonite |
4.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Checking Boxes |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wild Alex |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
So Close So Far |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zona de Amigos |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Zava |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Jesus’ Dream |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Alma Brilha |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Molly Malone |
12.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Catalina Nina |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Moon At Night |
1.80 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Royal Upstart |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Norho’s Gamble |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Udidn’tpay |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Princess Sophie |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Peach Perfect |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Western Dream |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Caged Pixie |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Just Stay Home |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Erin’s Enthusiasm |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Beyond a Million |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Lucky Opportunity |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Steal the Deal |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
A Philly Thing |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
The Last Jet |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rock Tune |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Driven to Success |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Picardy |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nurse Caralyn |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Stella Mia |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Angelic Storm |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Brooklyn Heights |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
La Colorada |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Incontrovertible |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Mischief |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wine Goddess |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lil’ Late Luck |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Map of Life |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bruno Barber Girl |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shelby Shortstop |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Amore d’Oro |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Capo |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Drunken Sailor |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Brysons Option |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Amore d’Oro |
4.00 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Masakado |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Trumpet Call |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bali Amour |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Warrior Ted |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Chasing Stardom |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Villanito |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Afraidofthebunny |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Respirator |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
King Swansboro |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zoppi Fischbein |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fenwick Jack |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rumaway |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Private Cabana |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
You’re the One |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gray Lightning |
1.20 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dontpasstheprinces |
5.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Twist Her |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Thegoddessofsnakes |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sugar Smile |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Confirmed Star |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Betsy Is the Gal |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Rudy Rod |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Liam’s Blue Moon |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
R Goodtime Charlie |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lazaretto |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Zip It Scotty |
4.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tycoon |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lord Uhtred |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Hide the Ransom |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mischievous Jones |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Hibachi |
10.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mischievous Juan |
10.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
7 |
7 |
Crypt |
10.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.