Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shezmisbehaving | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Fast Giselle | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Abhita | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grazed My Heart | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | In Your Face | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spring Magic | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quaria Thunder | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ankyrah | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shezmisbehaving | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Layla Rae | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Frazzled | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | De Joria | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Violet Storm | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R Swirvin Girvin | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yvett’s Surprise | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Known Idea | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Where It’s At | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beer Money | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Refocus | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Final Storm | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Immelmann | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Surroundedbyangels | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger in My Tank | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dramatizer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roman Empress | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vulin | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Friend | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Broken Breeze | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zzyzx | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Crosby Beach | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dandy Man Shines (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aligato | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flashiest | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dean Martini | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reiquist | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hula Candy | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Crypto Craze | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sanger | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Man Child | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Motorcade | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good N Thirsty | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kahuna Magic | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Kaos | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two by Four | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clements Ride | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Takes Three | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Size Does Matter | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stolen Treasure | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mischiefs Causeway | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keep Movin’ On | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just a Guess | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tizzy Twister | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Uncontrollable | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wishtheyallcouldbe | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tizzy Twister | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Wahine | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Hello | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flymetothemoonbaby | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wimberly | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Heart of the Night | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Not A Sinner (GB) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Disposition | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carson Jen | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ur in Trouble | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vibez | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wimberly | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ziti (FR) | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Love Alive | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Charm Your World | 6.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Upcharge | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Girvin | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pace Lane | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tahini | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.