Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Caribbean King | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gold Foot | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Legs Romolo | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Circleofchampions | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Promissio | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mongolian Altai | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Mission | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Kai | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Smokem If U Gottem | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eagles Dare | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Bucky Charm | 1.20 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blame the Classic | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whats the Buzz | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Evertoriano | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Safa | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Shushala | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quick Kate | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sneaker | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grease Missle | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Putt for Dough | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dorie Miller | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Kona Gold S.) – Kona Gold S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Chosen Vron | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forbidden Kingdom | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Abu Dhabi | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Express Train | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zeus’ War | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Jack | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | See Through It | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Anmer Hall | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Hat Willie | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tarantino | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Incredible Shot | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Single Track Mind (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lahaina Flavor | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Threebrothers | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kimmer | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trusty Rusty | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Top Gun Tommy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lansdowne (GB) | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lambeau | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Fury | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Little H Man | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Elector | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trusty Rusty | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Good Vibes Only | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johnny Drama | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Forgiving Spirit | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tigerhon (FR) | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | On the Whim | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cali Bay (IRE) | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fleet Feet | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Legislator | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shortman | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belmont Bill | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lawless World | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lettheliquortalk | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Syntactic | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Cat | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Derecho Dandy | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | L’Enfant Dit | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Partner Glen | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thompson | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fireman Dan | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Handsome Harry | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Royal Heroine S.) – Royal Heroine S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bellabel (IRE) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stay and Scam | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lakota Spirit | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Justique | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Lizzy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncorked (AUS) | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fuente Ovejuna (GB) | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glenall (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irresistible Force | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Faustin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ultimate Gamble | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yellow Brick | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ashcroft | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | It’s My House | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I Don’t Get It | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | St. Elmo | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Brother | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smart Mo | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Santo Dios (ARG) | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 98 | Brazenly | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Mammoth | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Runyon Canyon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Rose | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunset Glory (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kelly’s Out (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Willa T | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Den of Iniquity (GB) | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ima Joker | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baltic Fire | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Gem | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Criticism | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.