Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Livehappy |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Haileysfirstnotion |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hub |
1.80 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Passioned |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wrightsville |
2.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Summer Ready |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dominguez |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Evening Magic |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Looking for Water |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Search |
1.40 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Destined to Dance |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Razorette |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ojitos Bellos |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Voodoo Priestess |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Luv U Mary Jane |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Enzo |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Az Sharp |
12.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
12 |
12 |
Beltane |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Won an Award |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
13 |
13 |
Sheriff Joe |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Act Lively |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Twirling Express |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Takethefifth |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sail On Home |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wow Whata Party |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
14 |
14 |
Sig |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Elfuegomasbrilante |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Elon |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fire and Knives |
30.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
16 |
16 |
Vibrant Force |
50.00 |
12.6 |
24-1 |
15 |
15 |
Great Googlymoogly |
50.00 |
13.1 |
25-1 |
|
|
Elfuegomasbrilante |
|
17 |
32-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Momma’s Lino |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tina Tina Tina |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Floge |
1.80 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
No Walk Inthe Park |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sun Streaming |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
G’s Fireball |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Mine Run |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Running River |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Midnight Renegade |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Vax a Nation |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crabs N Beer |
1.80 |
4 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Riccio |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Crossland |
10.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Blame the Tux |
20.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
10 |
10 |
Twist ‘n Twirl |
4.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
4 |
4 |
Street Rockin |
30.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
5 |
5 |
Master of None |
12.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
11 |
11 |
Energy Efficient |
3.50 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Irish Hero |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Foggy Dew |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rainy Skies |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Summerstateofmind |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
No Cents Non Cents |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rapidity |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Same Day as L J |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mile High Miracle |
10.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gambe Forte |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Basic Miles |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
4 |
The King Cheek |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
2 |
Cannon’s Roar |
1.60 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dust Devil |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1A |
8 |
Hardy Choice |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
10 |
Goldini |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
9 |
Chelonian |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
El de Larry |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
American d’Oro |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
4 |
3 |
Shofar |
15.00 |
8.7 |
17-1 |
10 |
11 |
Home School |
15.00 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
2 |
1 |
Trash Talkin Larry |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Cowan |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Classier |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tenebris |
3.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rominski |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hurricane J |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Murray |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Exculpatory |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Feeling Woozy |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dats Mr. Mo |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Musical Heart |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Royal Spy |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Crownedcountcristo |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Senate Chamber |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
His Name Is Sue |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nick’s Little Boy |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Moonset |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.