Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flip Flops | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saturday Flirt | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Baytown Storm | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goth | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Match Five | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rio de Paz | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Her Holy Name | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookatmybuckle | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bois Blanc | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Biv | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cotillard | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pootoogook | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Burning Pine | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spun Lovin | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baytown Boo Boo | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mariposa de Pista | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sergeant Capps | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | La Marinera | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit Rags | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baytown Bulleit | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blistering | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | New Rome | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mrs. Astor | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malawnia | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sake (FR) | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Excellent Question | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pallotta Sisters | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Super Stormy | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Right Now | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Under Advisement | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Echo Foxtrot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Esme | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Scarletta | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pontresina | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dee Minus | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barbtourage | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barbara T | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corri Felice | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Satin Blue | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | American Fairytale | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Risky Shot | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tirupati | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Touring With Netta | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | McAvoy | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iris’s Dream | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nomos | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Truly | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tough Little Nut | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thomas Aquinas | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quokka | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ode to Balius | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swiss Slang | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Creek | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Good Bali | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | One Giant Leap | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tivy | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mullikin | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miracle Worker | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chance | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moreau | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baltasar | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vinco | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trouble’s Roaring | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stinger Bee | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brody | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Yo Banana Boy | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alcove | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sweet as Sin | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frio River | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lean Music Machine | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Where Ya At Vince | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | World Record | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beckster | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Schwarzmeier | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bewitch S. Presented By Keeneland Sales) – Bewitch S. Presented By Keeneland Sales
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tic Tic Tic Boom | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Chop Chop | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Vergara | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Atomic Blonde (GER) | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lovely Princess | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chop Chop | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tower Bridge | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tic Tic Tic Boom | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Like Goddess | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Commandandcontrol | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Queens Command (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Happy Soul | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Adaleigh | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Item Saver | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mucho Macho Girl | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nom de Plume | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unifying | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Royal Take Charge | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Braganza | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Spa | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swall | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Napa Candy | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Be Like Water | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bandwagon | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rose Collector | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Domingo | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gewurztraminer | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Team Captain | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mikealicious | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Copper Missile | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Izzy d’Oro | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Catch a Wave | 3.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Magic Heart | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hawks Creek | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.