Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Surface to Air | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Tuffy | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boat House | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Faith | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Can’t You See | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Main Line Cipher | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Conflicted | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Trap Line | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Into Diamonds | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cheval de Guerre | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Monterey Bay | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Madroc | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bright Skittle | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chado | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Toner | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American City | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ravenshire | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malevaje | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Baytown Baracus | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Baytown Bump | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Graydaria | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Blistering | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Spirit Rags | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Johnny Come Lately | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tiwanaku | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kerouac | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sugoi | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Accidental Hero | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cooke Creek | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tres Soles | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Frosted Diamond | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Berlaine | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Sass | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Riviere | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smart With Heart | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Very Wealthy | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Stormy Lady | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Xtrasaucewelldone | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Champagne Juan | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sgt. Pepper | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Truly Quality | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cyber Ninja | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Medicine | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Better Bet | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ironsides | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brees | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miracle On Ice | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marquet Malice | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brown Liquor Man | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | York Tavern | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Newhart | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr Kringle | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maximum Capacity | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jr’s Gift | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beaumont Red | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eye Witness | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior Johny | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eyeing Clover | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Heist | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Condemn | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Angkor | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Blue Kentucky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tarneema | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Style Points | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Wintour | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Princess | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Hollywood | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Raining Sugar | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midsummer March | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sacred Image | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Janey Creed | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kamikaze Umagi | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Voice From Above | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sputnik | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Same Old Fears | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Plum Tricky | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Velvet Kisses | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dial Home | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Day Dawning | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carolina Candy | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miyako | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Haniwa | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ain’t No Other | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Conquest Dancer | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Into Amore | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.