Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shogun Be Fast | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ellie’s Boyfriend | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Family Factor | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nak Nak Bolt | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midway Miracle | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Enjoyment | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hijack the Party | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Moonstrike (GB) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tapit First | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Caribbean Wind | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tapit First | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Good Looking | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fleet Street | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Voodoo Princess | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whatintheliteral | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vodka With a Twist | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cloud Angel | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Rabble | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Street Lass | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Flaming Glory | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mariposa de Pista | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Baytown Storm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mo Pics Please | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Little Alexa | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Spun Lovin | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ice Time | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drury Lane | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roussette | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vincita | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Track Light | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Du Monde | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fear of Union | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Active Duty | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Rhodes | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relampago Verde | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Coinvest | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Surf City | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Saturday Long Legs | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unit Economics (GB) | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uno Mas Bourbon | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gamblin George | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Relampago Verde | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | San Martin | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | French Bread | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Accident | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Talbingo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Drobny | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Maddon | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Five Star G Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mohtafil | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Boat House | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hero Worship | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Man With the Moves | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Oy Vey | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiger’s Legacy | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | One Sharp Tiz | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star of Caesarea | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cowboy Luke | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | On Tap | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Al Ameeq | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Rapids | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Air Force Cruising | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mint Edition | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Holy Foley | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Awasef | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m a Sure Thing | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Holy Foley | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Viva La Red | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Call Me Toni | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Condone | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Boltoro | 50.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mint Edition | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maria’s Revenge | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Let’s Duet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Howl | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Amaretti | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unsung Melody | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ervadean | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Accede | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lure’em In | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yes Day | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charriere | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Decanted | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vesture | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hamilton’s Way | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | St. Neots | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rebel Red (GB) | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cloudy Holiday | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pilkington | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Special Dispatch | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doolgaroux | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Agapee Mou | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | John the Beer Man | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marina Gamba | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | My Boy Tony | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Thermoscope | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Brio | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Ten Bits | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.