Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Queen of Naples | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Bo J | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Brown Fox | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strikingly | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jane Austen | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Apple Fest | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cane Creek Road | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sawasdee | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Give Me the Lute | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silardi | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barristan The Bold (GB) | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devil Moon | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hapi Hapi | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Carol’s Comic | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seattle Surf | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Account | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thirsty Lov | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bring Him Home | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Natural Cat | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Siren Lure S.) – Siren Lure S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lane Way | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mucho Del Oro | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Peace | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Johnny Podres | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mackinnon | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nay V Belle | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tambo | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | In Theory | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ma Rae’s Girl | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beau Soleil | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Show Card | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pacific Rose | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Red Cross Knight | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moogie Son | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oubabe | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fly the Sky | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Worse Read Sanchez | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dick Best | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big George | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bad Sneakers | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gavea | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crypto Ride | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mischelof (CHI) | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Telos | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moesahandful | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smooth Salute | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dual Threat | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Letshaveonemore | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arrogates Spirit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | North East Star (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Inner Beauty (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unkept Secret | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aspirational | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Kitten | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Is | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dendera | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Santa Maria S.) – Santa Maria S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Super Shine (ARG) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Desert Dawn | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coffee in Bed | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Turnerloose | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Dream Machine | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Bettina | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Liberal Lady | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Novel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Runamileinmyshoes | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warren’s Paradice | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Isabel Ludlow | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ashleys Sandcastle | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blondzilla | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quantum Innergy | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Another Summer | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Glacier Rim | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Be a Goldfish | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wishes to Riches | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mineral Rights | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Starlit Harbor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Castagna | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Stakemaker | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.