Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | P H Factor | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crazy Legs Hirsch | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sittin On Go | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hoodlum | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Q Bond | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Faithful King | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sense You Left | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dreamaway | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clever Again | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Beatle | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mendello | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sackett | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Moneyline | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Baytown Sundance | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Hair Sam | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Happyflyer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tapirs Valor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sergeant Capps | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Johnny Come Lately | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | The Toner | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Speak Up | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Timeless Elegance | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Anise | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Segesta | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Glo Glo | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Dig | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ms. Lilibet | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Claret Beret | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Exhilarate | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pisciotta (GB) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Toffee Apple | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Life’s Saga (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Dream On Stormy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Choate | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Stephanieswarrior | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Myiyla | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Maturity Date | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sensible Choice | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Queen Rhaenyra | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ghee for the Win | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Colette’s Joy | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Show | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Extremely Gruntled | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Elliptic | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Song Bridge | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Harmonic | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Solvent | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jefe de Obra (CHI) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Salt Spray (IRE) | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Demolition Duke | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ransomware | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double Clutch | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chaplin | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Clear the Air | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mackville | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rigel | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Grande Tortugon (CHI) | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Now That Ican Rock | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sugar Gray Leonard | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dragoon Guard | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock N Roll Bolt | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Map to the Stars | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Temecula | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sesame Streek | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Term | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lake Superior | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Watch This Birdie | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Canisy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Girl Named Charlie | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heavenly Appointed | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Immensitude (FR) | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blissful | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valentina Day | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flatter Me Silly | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tic Tic Tic Boom | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Queen of Missoula | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ludwig | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Champlin | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swot Analysis | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Higher Standard | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Powerful | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Insolito | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saffa’s Day | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lofty Adjudicator | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Escape | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baytown Bear | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ready to Pounce | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bushido | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Coco Crush | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Muneera | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Stay Lost | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sister Honey | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Semantics | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lipochrome | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hampton Yard | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Risk Threshold (IRE) | 1.20 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Why Waste Words | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I’m a Cookie Lover | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tidal Tactics | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mo Divine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dona Witch | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Day Dawning | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Miss Lovey Dovey | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | My Sexy Blonde | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.