Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Beef Winslow | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zoffarelli (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lovesick Blues | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Player B | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Aza Tack | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mas Rapido (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ms McWhinney | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Precipice | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sabres | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Still in It | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yellow Sun Dress | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jai Ho | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | In Without Knockin | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kimberly’s Devil | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Collectively | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nuclear | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Normandy Landing | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Chaz | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Duran | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Gold | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Western Grit | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Travelin’ Show | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Motivating Force | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | J Dutton | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just a Graze | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capital Outlay | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ignatowski | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky N Smart | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Datsyuk | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mucho Suerte | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Soul of Midnight | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fifty Cinco | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Tok | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seattle Breakout | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aurelian Man | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bravestone | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Erebus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Moon Ice | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Antibes | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unusual Measure | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ghostly Act | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Finners Goldnsense | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Handsome Red | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charley Pride | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dapitan Star | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drive for Show | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The G M | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Californian S.) – Californian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Judge Miller | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mixto | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Fisk | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | None Above the Law | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mystification | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Providencia S.) – Providencia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Medoro | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shiloh’s Mistress | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Circle of Trust | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pink Whitney | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | English Danger | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brand New Dream | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sakura Blossom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lamporghini | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Man O Rose | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fifth Street | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princip | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hard to Figure | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sully | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pop d’Oro | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thorne House | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kangaroo Court | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Calm Sea | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maltese Falcon (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Better Than Gold | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Order and Law | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One of These Days (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Goldeneye | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lincoln Hawk (IRE) | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Rewards | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bee Catcher | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 98 | Heywoods Beach | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.