Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Special Club | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vodka Vodka | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Defensor Fortis | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bert’s Prospect | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rhino | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vols | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maxville | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Yo Yo Mama | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warren’s Wild Ride | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keychain Girl | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whimsical Heir | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crown of Hope | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Macho Queen | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zzyzx | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Naismith | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Outgunned | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mobe Town | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quagmire Magic | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Giants Candy | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Des Doigts | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Raising Silver | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ryder’s Candy | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Willow Cove | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flash That Smile | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Made to Move | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bessie Coleman | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moonlight Tryst | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Danzing Flyer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Exultation | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Box | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jetovator | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Disko Tribute | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seventeen Black | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mynumerouno (AUS) | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indian Peak | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Atomic Drop | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mike Operator | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mitico | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zimba Warrior | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mastermind | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Buzz | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nauvoo | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Neon Lights (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lemon Sushi | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eddie’s Last | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Father Delay | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m a Lucky Man | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Azteca | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | John Dunbar | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Potential Spam | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 10 | 10 | Big Drinker | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soldatna | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chrome to Riches | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Audible Silence | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Luther Pass | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Potential Spam | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tapit Down | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toppers Wager | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Alphie | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Running for Cosi | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Phenom | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Teen Drama | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unwritten Code | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rebalation | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paleo’s Princess | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yolo Calls | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Woodbine Way | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.