Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Golden Skull |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
This Run’s for You |
1.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
All About Lucky |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fort Attitude |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Exalted Charm |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Federal Exchange |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nature Boy |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Street Charity |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lunetta Jak |
30.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Boot’s On the Moon |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cairnhill |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Union Harmony |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sprezzatura |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Uncaptured Dove |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Proverb |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Uranium |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wind Ninety Nine |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Super Curioso (ARG) |
3.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Doc Amster |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Storm Brave |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Quincy Cafe |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Crimson Princess |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Madaket’s Arrow |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Busy Morning |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chicken Parm |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lady Cha Cha |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Where’s Emma |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Carrington |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Lte Stark Winter |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vayesta |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss Holly |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cabernet |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Spanish Girl |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lucevan La Stelle |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Allovernow Babyblu |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jess’s Moment |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Time Miss |
8.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Awesomely Wild |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Grand David |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Swan Lake |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Night Jumper |
30.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bringer of Rain |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sand Dancer |
1.60 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gliding Afleet |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Uncle Armando |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Roi Soleil |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Apollo Ten |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bonus Move |
1.20 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Split Strike |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Atmidnight |
30.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Roi Soleil |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
King Skull |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Lighting Clouds |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Rocket Dragon |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Iron Man Jimmy |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dropkick Murphy |
12.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Academy Choice |
1.40 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Harrington |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lieutenant Stan |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tie Breaker |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sterling Harmony |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Austonian |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.