Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Iguazu (IRE) |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gloriette |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Stuck On You |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Missile |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Get By |
30.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Veecation |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Let’s Go Brandi |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fancy Prance |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Glamorous |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mikey’s Magic Gal |
12.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Andrea Beach |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bainbridge Dancer |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Rosia Bay |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Theroanrunner |
1.60 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Liam’s Champ |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
St. Benedicts Prep |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sassy Walker |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Eyes of Gold |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Birdie Rose |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Malawnia |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Summonyourcourage |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Eirik Ridge |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Paved in Gold |
15.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zeca Diabo |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Unreasonable |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
East From West |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Moving to Kentucky |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Beezer |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sir Greylind |
12.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
1 |
1 |
Modern Day Warrior |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Air It Out |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
True Faith |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Lou’s Legacy |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Brody |
15.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Title Contender |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Coach Campbell |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Teen Idol |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Red State |
4.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Shadow Surge |
3.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Let’s Bounce |
8.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fracture |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Beckster |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Pin Up Betty |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Tempting Lady |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Argan |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Raconteuse |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Spaliday |
2.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Cat’s Symphony |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Embark |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wine and Waves |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sweet Lilibet |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ready for Shirl |
6.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Argentinidad |
20.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
5 |
5 |
Scarlet Poppy (IRE) |
4.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
16 |
16 |
Beyond Lucky |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
I’m a Cookie Lover |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
My Sexy Blonde |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Adrasteia |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Julia Shining |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Magical Lute |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Musical Mischief |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fireline |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sultry Lass |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lil Kings Princess |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Joke Sisi (CHI) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Giant’s Causeway S.) – Giant’s Causeway S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Love Reigns (IRE) |
|
0 |
0-1 |
12 |
12 |
Love Reigns (IRE) |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Oeuvre |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bling |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Roses for Debra |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Elm Drive |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Secret Money |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
B G Warrior |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kissed by Fire |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Play the Music |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
13 |
13 |
High Class |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Breeze Easy (GB) |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Port Townsend |
20.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jill Jitterbug |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
2 |
Giant Game |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
1 |
Transect |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Frosted Departure |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hayes Strike |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Classic Catch |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Brigadier General |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1A |
8 |
Howling Time |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Gilcrease |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Jenny Wiley S.) – Jenny Wiley S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Beaute Cachee (FR) |
|
0 |
0-1 |
9 |
9 |
Didia (ARG) |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gina Romantica |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Elusive Princess (FR) |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Beaute Cachee (FR) |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fluffy Socks |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Star Fortress (IRE) |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Surge Capacity |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Walkathon |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
English Rose (IRE) |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Embrace Me |
50.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stonestreet Lexington S.) – Stonestreet Lexington S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Encino |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Dilger (IRE) |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
The Wine Steward |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Encino |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lucky Jeremy |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hades |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Liberal Arts |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Footprint |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
How’s Ur Attitude |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dilger (IRE) |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Secret Chat |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Everdoit |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Moonlight |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Royal Majesty (GB) |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
St. Armands Key |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Beyond Stoked |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Frontline Warrior |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Incinerator |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Deadpan |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
13 |
13 |
Break Out |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Gorilla Trek |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pure Poetry |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Massif |
15.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
12 |
12 |
Karlwithanarl |
30.00 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
16 |
16 |
Tifareeh |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Copper Missile |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Thomas Aquinas |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
One Red Cent |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.