Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Figureti (CHI) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holiday House | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spycraft | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rivoli | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tilted Towers | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coyote Road | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One for Richie | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Deb’s Gunfighter | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Land Mark Deal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Latin Casino | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharp Shot | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Shot | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liquor Talk | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Elm Street | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quebrancho | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Erasmus | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Battle Born | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Port Royal | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Master of the Nite | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | High Alert | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | If I Were You | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Brake Needed | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shannonrun | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Glamorous | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Modern Day Warrior | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Unreasonable | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Baba Voss | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Prince’s Spur | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tall Boy | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cyclone Mischief | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pyrenees | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spencer’s Boy Luna | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Barber Road | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Harrodsburg | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wicked Again | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Asmodeus | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Abadin | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dazzlemesilver | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Iceatude | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aged Truth | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quencio | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fliparino | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moreau | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Figlio Del Re (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Spice | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Just Better | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Purloin | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bella Cruella | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enzi | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Belle of Rights | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Summerintahoe | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Royal Wintour | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Modern Sound | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Only Emotions | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Kerlo’s Cause | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Killshave Beauty | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Expatriate | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Ellie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kalispera (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | May May Strong | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | On Command | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kehoe Beach | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bellofthebluegrass | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Layla | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Marina Village | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Short Skirts | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lotsandlotsofcandy | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elegant Vision | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Songmaker | 6.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Legal Deceiver | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Time for Magic | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Fanduel Limestone S.) – Fanduel Limestone S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hot Beach | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Foxxy Cleopatra | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Hot Beach | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zoe’s Prime | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kodiac Wintergreen (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Trouble | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Antique Silver | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Greavette | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Angel | 50.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Amidst Waves | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Xtreme Diva | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Nice as Pie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Toupie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Crimson Advocate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pipsy (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tunisian Spring | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suncroft | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bramito | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Legacy | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | B Sudd | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Express | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Laver | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Polster | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No No Joe | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Battleoflexington | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Edge | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maker’s Mark Mile S.) – Maker’s Mark Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naval Power (GB) | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Emmanuel | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Integration | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Master of The Seas (IRE) | 0.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shirl’s Speight | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Naval Power (GB) | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kubrick (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Du Jour | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Equitize (GB) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Laughinalltheway | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tagliatelle | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Washington’s Union | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gilded Craken | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Friend Louie | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Raid | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stop the Spread | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ejtimaa | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Longshadow | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lips Say Bliss | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.