Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Belts ‘n Brooks | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wednesdaynight Lad | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Endless Sunset | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | This Run’s for You | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Major King | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Federal Exchange | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nature Boy | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Safe Conduct | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Blooded | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tallahatchiebridge | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cashier Check | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Read On | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Seamus | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winston Blue | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Undalay | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Narcissistic | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Connector | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jackson’s Webb | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Free Smoke | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Devils Only Friend | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pack Plays | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nana Fanny | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peace Seeker | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Radiant Gem | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Ring Thing | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wicklow Gal | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Touring | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Velocissima | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fifty One Fifty | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Federal Highway | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kohaku | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Modern Lane | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leave It Blank | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Intransigent | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fuji Fire | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Max Forward Speed | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ahorsewithnoname | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sioux | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Sky’s Syl | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bolkin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Marshmallow Queen | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Ballad | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unrelentless | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Llamarada | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Papaisice | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fontina | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heaven in Mind | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Esperon | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heals the Soul | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jet Wings | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Commandant | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zio Lorenzo | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Galipan | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valiant Exchange | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spettro | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Born a Gambler | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kingfish Stevens | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Gravy | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nantasket Beach | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mufrih | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Exult | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Doorman | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pluma Roja | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Surrogate | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.