Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Ashley |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Not A Sinner (GB) |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hannah Buckle (IRE) |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Motet |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Paradise Lake |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sabres |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Criticism |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Notime for Squalls |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hymnal |
6.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dashingly |
6.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
De Joria |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Soul Sweet |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flatterwithjewels |
1.60 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vulin |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Roman Empress |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
A Broken Breeze |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Bartholdy |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sorrento Sky (IRE) |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mr Fabricator |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Omey Island |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Legitify (IRE) |
2.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hurricane Way |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Winsitwell |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Series |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Max’s Maxine |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Love My Candy |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hot Lava Cake |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Baby Bliss |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Devil D’ Oro |
4.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dandy Day |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Spicy Spouse |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Freedom Lass |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mirari |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cornelia Fort |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vincero Grande |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Musical Rhapsody (IRE) |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Luminiferous |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady Claypoole (IRE) |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Yarborough |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sakura Flavor (IRE) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sand to Sea |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Eltonsingsanother |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Uncontrollable |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Irish Wahine |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Diamonds Danzing |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sharp Ride |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Wilshire S.) – Wilshire S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Stay and Scam |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nadette (FR) |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Turnerloose |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
School Dance |
3.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Leisurewear (IRE) |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Glenall (IRE) |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Adaay In Asia (GB) |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Selenaia (IRE) |
4.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ascendancy |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Thirty Carats |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Worthy of Magic |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Delitefull Hart |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bangs |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Vitalera (CHI) |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fayette Fox |
3.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Ives |
2.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (American S.) – American S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Gold Phoenix (IRE) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Johannes |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Prince Abama (IRE) |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Air Force Red |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sumter |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fuerteventura |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Irideo (ARG) |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Genius Jimmy |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
War At Sea |
6.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Parnelli |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.