Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Motivating Force | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Takes Three | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vodka Vodka | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s My World | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mystic Spirit | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vols | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winter Is Coming | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | J Dutton | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic Account | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Magic Account | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Getemdusty | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hungry Hearts | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speed of the Nile | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beskar | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Virat | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forgiving Spirit | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grazed | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Richards Bello | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Player B | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adare | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Carol’s Comic | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mobe Town | 0.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unusual Win | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luther Pass | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spend It All | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Crosby Beach | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cathkin Peak (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Standing O | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jimmy Blue Jeans | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carmelita’s Man | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hula Candy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reiquist | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zalamo (FR) | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Customer List (FR) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lake Superior | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duran | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Normandy Landing | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ashcroft | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Theismann | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Sensational Star S.) – Sensational Star S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Clovisconnection | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coalinga Road | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catalina Eddy | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lovesick Blues | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disko Tribute | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Johnny Podres | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | None Above the Law | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Elegant | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lamporghini | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beau Soleil | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Visually | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hattie T | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Dancer | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blackpink (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brand New Dream | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Highlands | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.