Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Bobby Two Shot’s | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fran’s Star | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alvarado Cat | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saint Gabriel | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Chad’s Flashy Ways | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Halo | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Jayde’s Bandit | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Jackson D | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Causeway Benny | 3.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Navarrian | 5.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Who Is Chief | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Achromedoutcat | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orleans Tourist | 12.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Our Determination | 6.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lost My Bag | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Costa Rising S.) – Costa Rising S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mangum | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Custom Bobby’s | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Autumns Strong Man | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flower Cat | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Relentless Dancer | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unified Report | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Swot Analysis | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brian’s Iron Mike | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Pal Mattie | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Charlie | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Crescent City Oaks) – Crescent City Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sister Ella | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lightofmaine | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Accommodate Eva | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saved by Grace | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Platinum Minit | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clearly a Test | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tommie G | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Emily’s Bullet | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pip Squeek | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Without Cause | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ragtime Lady | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Union Mist | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saranac Lake | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mischief My Way | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lucky Speech | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Purr Factor | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arijana’s Pearl | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Capo Donna | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Chai | 10.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | War Siren (FR) | 3.50 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justify Perfection | 8.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Luna Calante | 12.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carnane (IRE) | 15.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Win for Speight | 12.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
| 14 | 14 | She a Baddie | 8.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stinger Bee | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devilsgotacause | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Corporal | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Lincoln | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | House United | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charnico | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fast Solution | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In Writing | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coach Campbell | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Tiverton (GB) | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Interlock Empire | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brown Liquor Man | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Athens Moon | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Battle Scars | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Calicoco | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quaternion | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | El Perfecto | 15.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Simple Logic | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Solid Country Gold | 4.50 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moment of Stardom | 8.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devil’s Harvest | 12.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Z Z’s Prince | 20.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Deer Crossing | 8.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Faith Runner | 30.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Beaumont Red | 15.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Crescent City Derby) – Crescent City Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blue Eyed George | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spinning Aces | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sonofaship | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Dinero | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good and Stout | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sounds Like Power | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gamer Nate | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge J J | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| El Dinero | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Tom Benson Memorial S.) – Tom Benson Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Messidor (IRE) | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tufani | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Oeuvre | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gloria’s Princess | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hidden Connection | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Join the Dance | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spirit And Glory (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Delahaye | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Freydis the Red (FR) | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Watch This Birdie | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Girl Named Charlie | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Not So Close | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flatter Me Silly | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tryinmyheartout | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| Oeuvre | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (New Orleans Classic S. Presented By Relyne Gi By Hagyard) – New Orleans Classic S. Presented By Relyne Gi By Hagyard
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Red Route One | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Touchuponastar | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Best Actor | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Corinto (ARG) | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Velocitor | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gasoline | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Black Belt | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy American | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Money Supply | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lure Him In | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| Touchuponastar | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Muniz Memorial Classic S. Presented By Horse Racing Nation) – Muniz Memorial Classic S. Presented By Horse Racing Nation
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Adhamo (IRE) | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Webslinger | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Aces | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strong Quality | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Johny’s Fireball | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beatbox | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gigante | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | I’m Very Busy | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Risk Manager | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Point Proven | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rising Empire | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Palazzi | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Woods N Water | 50.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| I’m Very Busy | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Fair Grounds Oaks Presented By Fasig-tipton) – Fair Grounds Oaks Presented By Fasig-tipton
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | V V’s Dream | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alpine Princess | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Pretty Woman | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tarifa | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Intricate | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucy Got Game | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midsummer March | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Accommodate Eva | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby) – Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Honor Marie | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hall of Fame | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Triple Espresso | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catching Freedom | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Track Phantom | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Agate Road | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Antiquarian | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Common Defense | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Ruta | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Real Men Violin | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tuscan Gold | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Next Level | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.