Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Fifty One Fifty |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Maclin |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Vito’s Brother |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hey River |
2.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lola Loca |
12.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kohaku |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tapit’s Direction |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Golden Skull |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Carsown |
1.40 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Solomons Gold |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Warlord Cruzan |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
All About Lucky |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fort Attitude |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Acamar |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Exalted Charm |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Fancy Stax |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Arisaema |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Starlit Sofi |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sprezzatura |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Applause |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dialithic |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Prima Riviera |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Backwoods Boogie |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Momza |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gliding Afleet |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sir Terre |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Burning Man |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Euphoria Star |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Swan Lake |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Pure Speight |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Joe Di Baggio |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Most Wanted Man |
10.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rhymes Like Dimes |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Man Vito |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Loud Mouth |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ragtime Blues |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Game Boy Benny |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Malibu Springs |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sentenza |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Swordofhonor (IRE) |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Unit Economics (GB) |
1.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
New York Strong |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Inherent Promise |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Scat Tu Tap |
10.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hangin in There |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Mr Narcissistic |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mr Narcissistic |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Academy Choice |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sterling Harmony |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Imapeppa |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mayheminthepalace |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dropkick Murphy |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sergeant Sinatra |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Aperol Spritz |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Acquired Taste |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
For the Thrill |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Sweetheart Dani |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Girvaceous |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cabernet |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Albright |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mrs. Cash Man |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.