Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Honor the Truth | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lovely Liza | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | For Cryin Out Loud | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Sox | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Samana Laura | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ellie Victorina | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valiant Majesty | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Remember Me | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Khozy Colby | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Neolithica | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tina Tina Tina | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Determined Blue | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Floge | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | At First Sight | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | G’s Fireball | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Boo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kaymus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vino From Ernies | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amie’s Symphony | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Laughing Fit | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shining Spirit | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grammy Girl | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Style and Profile | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Audibly | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Berks | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Irish | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncaptured Storm | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American d’Oro | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chelonian | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unanimous Consent (GB) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Brasstown | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Walk Away Joe | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strong Finish | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Krug | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shackled Love | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shivaree | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bahama Channel | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Viking Queen | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cloud Music | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mine Run | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Verbier | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Entrust | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Shouldhavebeengone | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dreams Delivered | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Prins Fire | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Thousand Idols | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bold Honor | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oboy | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moon Sign | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Succeed | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sea Ghost | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Running River | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Victim of the Nite | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swifty Devil | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Antonelli | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Union Fleet | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nasty Habit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Capone | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | John Hall | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Aaraj | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bob Marco | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Be Better | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Martini Martin | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ain’t Da Beer Cold | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Eldest Son | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vance Scholars | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Yodel E. A. Who | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Outlier | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dats Mr. Mo | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bode’s Maker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Minny Speightster | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Return Fire | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Endeavor | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seeker | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oludeniz | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thunderslam | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Homecoming King | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Go Tintin Go | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.