Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Ima Joker |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Americandreammaker |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tahini |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Auratium |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Circle of Trust |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Matters |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Westphalia |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Runyon Canyon |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Lansdowne (GB) |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mitico |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Divine Rascal |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Elevado |
1.60 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Afternoon Heat |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rogue Son |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
We’ll Do It Live |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Creative Quality |
1.60 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nanci Griffith |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Winning Luck |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eva’s Party |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Club Ribbon |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Topolina |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blonde Bombshell |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dolly May (IRE) |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Corporal Violette (IRE) |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Arinniti (FR) |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Suffice |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wink Wish and Park |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Easter Coming Back |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
High Flying Gracie |
12.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Suzzie’s Darlin |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spicy Ride |
3.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Perfect in Gray |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fancy Fascinator |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ace Ace Baby |
4.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Issa Court |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sand to Sea |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Illhaveanotherkiss |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
True Patriot |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Abhita |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jessebear |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Vronsky Feint |
6.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Court Snort |
3.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Known Idea |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
J Dutton |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Special Club |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Uncle Chilly |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mystic Spirit |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Drive for Show |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Striking Thunder |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Travelin’ Show |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Anmer Hall |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tarantino |
5.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mubtadaa |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mega Moon |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Goldeneye |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Single Track Mind (IRE) |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Explain This Audit |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Silent Heat |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Classic Creation |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.