Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Full Proof |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Magical Monarch |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ascendance |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Surfboard |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tubtimsiam |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Whatahardmanfidead |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dashing d’Artagnan |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Casino Tricks |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Great Days Ahead |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Guapo Again (ARG) |
1.80 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Aliferous |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rascally Rebel |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Luv Ya Bye Bye |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
West Star |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hachure |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Brady Bear |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Davyjonz |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Glass of Courage |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Goodbye Note |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Albert Finnigan |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Minxzluckystarfyre |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bottomless Refill |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Never Done |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Thencomemorning |
1.40 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hazelmoor Beach |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Brief |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Earley Rose |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
She So Cool |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Riley G |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lute Warm |
1.80 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Unfolding Beauty |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Goldrush Hottie |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dark Princess |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ballroom Eyes |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dynamism |
3.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Ournationonparade |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Swill |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Threes Over Deuces |
4.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
No Cents |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bump N Run |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Karan’s Notion |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spun and Won |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Exculpatory |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Murray |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Rominski |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Overly Dramatic |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pudd’n N Pie |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Joyful Kitten |
12.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dead Sexy |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Champagne Dance |
30.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Determind Princess |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Faith and Liberty |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Lady Lemoncello |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Under the Radar |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Margin of Air |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jolly by Golly |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sagrada Ray |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Capone |
2.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Crossland |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shellback |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tweet Away Robin |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
I Have Courage |
1.40 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lunita |
15.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
No More Mask |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Matoula |
20.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fancy Princess |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Irish Lace |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.