Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Titan | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Weekend Concerto | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Banana Brian | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | First Shot Fired | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Walking Testimony | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daneland | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Tekilero | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bigly Deal | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady O’Brien | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | El Megeeth | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speak Up | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street View | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Maturity Date | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Wintour | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fear and Friday | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Razzle Red | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mont Saint Michel (FR) | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Highland Light | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Big Beautiful (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | James Gang | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Norfie | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sha Tin | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Danley | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Last Shift | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Purecrazigroove | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Toby | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Esperon | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zio Lorenzo | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adios Now | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raging Fury | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lighting Clouds | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rhum Saint Esprit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | And Uwish | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Factor That | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madaket’s Arrow | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cerchi | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Erin | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | In Awe | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lunetta Jak | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Breezing Along | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Disposition | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aaralyn | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Great Navigator | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Great Navigator | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bron and Brow | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Turbo | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Top Recruit | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Legacy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Threethirtythree | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | War Officer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Chad | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Homestead | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bee Well | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Four Top | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brees | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Take Your Seats (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broadcaster | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Captiva Island S.) – Captiva Island S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Secret Money | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stone Silent | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Accomplished Girl | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fulminate | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Future Is Now | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sol Hope | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sara Mia | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Arcadian Way | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Paramount Prince | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Patou Road | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cyber Ninja | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jeopardy Theory | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speight’spercomete | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sigrun Fast Boy | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir for Sure | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Rotterdam | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Aged Truth | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pacific Front | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Past Tense | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Last Episode | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kissing Rock | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Theforcebewithyou | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Streeterville | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Rebecca | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Impudence | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Justified Strategy | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Creed’s Gold | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Best of All | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.