Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Noble Bernadette |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Upswell |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Playmate |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kazillion |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Capella Red |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gather the Facts |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Inspector Penny |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Montana Rose |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Hardly Able |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
F T W Slam |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Forty Three |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Goldenlute |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Heza Sexy Zong |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cpriority |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Iron N Steel |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Order Up |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Cajun Ami |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
My Pal Sweet |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Monsieur Candy |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
Springtown |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Captivating Star |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gus’s Dream World |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Monsieur Candy |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gordito Hermoso |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Leisurely |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chaste One |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Josie’s Priority |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Back Bayou |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Kathlyns Phalanx |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Sunny Sassicaia |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Kyle Beauty |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Country Lady |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Commercial Flash |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cajun Catalina |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hopeitsmyluckyday |
8.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ours and Theirs |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Kennedy |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Copper Moon |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lady Hopper |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Calling |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Zaici |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hammerin Aamer |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
I Will Stand |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Classic King |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Freightrainfreeman |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Paynt Battle |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Keys Included |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bonus Appreciation |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Nate’s Attack |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Max Pandowdy |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gimme Some Mo |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Courageous Timmy |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Le Monstre Rapide |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lordy Lordy |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Angelic Knight |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Battalion Strike |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Custom Cadillac |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Got Me a Chrysler |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Boy Charlie |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Reddingandlee |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
High Cruise |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bizzee Channel |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Firewater Jake |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
High Tide |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Duke of Carthania |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Shady McGee (IRE) |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Parrot Head |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bourbon Day |
3.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
He’s Got This |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nobrag Justfact |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Doctor Nash |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Keen Cat |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Catalina Day |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gray Dane |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Put It Back Dave |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Taurean |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
J L Pac Man |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Measure of Faith |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Purrrfect Rhythm |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Saucer Eyes |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Letmikefigureitout |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Country Choice |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Clement’s Note |
20.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
10 |
10 |
Matzoh Ball |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Jude’s Lil Rouge |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.