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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 9, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Talkabout 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Hey You 8.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Emilyhasherturn 1.40 2 4-1
6 6 Adiamondinthestorm 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Betonya 4.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Loco Barn Senorita 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Wake Up Dolores 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Taken It 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 War Tourist 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Just Another Win 6.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Gap Daddy 8.00 4.3 8-1
12 12 Cece Wave 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Zipping Molly 20.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Sum Charm 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Midnight Faith 8.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Sho Nuff 15.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Boston Belle 30.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Beat the Double 20.00 9.4 18-1
13 13 Hopeshecanrun 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Custom Comedy 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sharp Flame 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Clearly Copper 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Oh Macarena 15.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Ghee for the Win 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Flathead Finale 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Casby 15.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Saint Isabel 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Always Audacious 20.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Money Works 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Wicked Saint 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Allegrodimolto 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Glenn’s Jumper 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 The Green Crusader 5.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 He’s a Bomb 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Mists of Time 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Coolcross 4.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Desoto’s War 6.00 7 13-1
4 4 Runandhide Wind 12.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Mongolian Bee 6.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Alyanaabi 20.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Kingswood 8.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Tappin Fora Dance 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
San Siro 0 0-1
San Siro 0 0-1
5 5 San Siro 6.00 1 2-1
11 11 Golden Era 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Irish Ransom 20.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Hamilton’s Way 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Sugar Hook 10.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Rock N Roll Bolt 4.00 5 10-1
8 8 Vincita 20.00 5.4 10-1
13 13 In Form 6.00 6.2 12-1
12 12 Spoken Code 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Zverev 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sabi 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Finn McSorley 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Pearl of Aclaim (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 El Real Deal 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sonofaship 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Copter 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Like This 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Macho Beanie 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Cameo Dancer 15.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Big Boo 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Craken Jax 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Safarinfas 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Silent Poet 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 English Tavern 15.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Alex Joon 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Hayes Strike 12.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Regular Guy 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Verbal 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Chasing the Crown 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 More Than Looks 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Koufax 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Missed the Boat 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Protonic Power 3.50 4 8-1
6 6 Unified Dreams 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 All West 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 El Oriente (CHI) 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Master Game 4.50 4.9 9-1
9 9 Runway Magic 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Lunar Module 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allen Black Cat Lacombe Memorial S.) – Allen Black Cat Lacombe Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pursuit of Liberty 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ba Dee Yah 8.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Ms Quality Control 5.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Emily’s Bullet 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Doesn’thurttoflirt 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tipsy Runner 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Pink Polkadots 1.80 SCRATCH
3 3 Lady Helena 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Way to Be Marie 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Smiling Ellie 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Trinity Hope 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 Debs Prayer 5.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Arms Apriority 4.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 That Is Awesome 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Hot Patootie 4.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Katie’s C 20.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Agami 15.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Cajun Two Step 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Kappa Hill 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Saberfight 6.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 I Dont Know Either 15.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Flashyboy’s Lilsis 10.00 8 15-1
13 13 Fitts N Starts 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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